Scott MartindaleAfter its long-awaiting breakout of the 1900 level the other week, the S&P 500 gained another +1.3% last week alone, but this double-low progression as I call it -- i.e., on extremely low volume and with persistently low volatility -- is worrisome. Read more about Sector Detector: Bulls revel in the new normal, while bears lie in wait

Scott MartindaleOverall, the economy appears to be on a steady path to recovery. As the Federal Reserve eventually allows interest rates to rise, we likely will see a rotation out of value and into growth as defensive debt-intensive companies struggle relative to companies that have lower debt burden and stronger prospective earnings growth. Read more about Sector Detector: Bullish fundamental rankings at odds with bearish technicals

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Scott MartindaleBulls continue to climb their wall of worry, as uncertainty from the latest “bricks in the wall” created by Russia in Crimea, slowing growth in China, and Fed tapering fades into the mosaic. Read more about Sector Detector: Doomsayers help keep bull market alive and well

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Backed by positive economic announcements from the Empire Manufacturing Index and Industrial Production, along with much improved growth from Europe, the market broke its string of four losing sessions with the S&P gaining 0.6% and the recently weak Russell 2000 up a sturdy 1.2%. Virtually all sectors did well, led by Energy, Industrials and Financials.  Energy was up by more than 1%. Read more about What the Market Wants: Possible Start to Santa Claus Rally

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The market ended last week up about 1% with Large-cap Growth leading the way, up 1.15%.  Worst was the cap/style that has led for over a year, Small-cap Growth, up only 0.08%.  Clearly, traders were cautious, as value did better than growth in Mid- and Small-caps.  Large-cap leading is another sign of caution.  Read more about What the Market Wants: Investors Remain Patient but Caution is Still in Order

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Scott MartindaleAs most everyone expected, Congressional brinksmanship gave way to an eleventh hour agreement that will put the government back in business and raise the debt ceiling. However, it’s only a temporary measure that merely defers another knock-down/drag-out for a few months. The question is, how will investors react after an initial bullish burst of relief? Read more about Sector Detector: Bulls run with a temporary green flag from Congress

smartindale / Tag: iShares, sectors, ETF, SPY, VIX, IWM, IBM, YHOO, INTC, AXP, EBAY, MA, N, AAPL, RE, iyw, IYF, IYE, IYH, IDU, IYK, IYC, IYM, IYZ / 0 Comments

Scott MartindaleStocks have shown some resiliency this week as they have made an attempt to recover from last week’s weakness, which was primarily due to the imminent threat of a US strike on Syria. Also, the senior portfolio managers are returning to the fold after taking some time off in late August, and they are likely seeing more opportunities than threats at the moment. Read more about Sector Detector: Top rankings in Tech, Financial, Energy, and Industrial

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Scott MartindaleAnxious bulls no doubt are looking for ways to rustle awake this sleepy late-summer stock market, before the bears stealthily bring it down. Investors’ focus has been on the Fed and what it might do next month, and Wednesday’s release of the July FOMC meeting minutes showed almost all the voting members supported no change in stimulus, with only a few hawks insisting that tapering should begin sooner. Read more about Sector Detector: Bulls look to awaken sleepy market … before the bears do

smartindale / Tag: sectors, iShares, ETF, SPY, VIX, CSCO, WMT, AAPL, VMW, MA, PB, iyw, IYF, IYK, IYE, IYJ, IYZ, IYM, IDU, IYH, IYC / 0 Comments

Scott MartindaleBond yields have crept back up to near multi-year highs as the bond market appears to be anticipating some measure of tapering in the Fed’s monthly bond-buying program. This undoubtedly has caused some hesitancy among stock investors, too. And then there are the looming debt ceiling and budget battles, as well as concern about slowing corporate earnings growth. And let’s not forget the comparisons to 1987 we are hearing, with Marc Faber (a.k.a., “Dr. Read more about Sector Detector: Still bullish despite worrisome indicators

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Scott MartindaleWe are in the thick of earnings season, and so far the general trend has been as anticipated: modest if any top-line growth and more earnings beats than misses (albeit versus a low bar). But forward guidance has been the big decider on how the stock trades post-earnings, and the message has been decidedly mixed, as many companies have had to reduce guidance or otherwise failed to make the grade in other important growth metrics. Read more about Sector Detector: Mixed messages abound among earnings reports

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